Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Caetano U20 vs Aster Itaqua U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2024
Sao Caetano U20 Logo

Sao Caetano U20

1 - 0
FT
Aster Itaqua U20 Logo

Aster Itaqua U20

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Santos C.
90' Event
Rito M. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Caetano U20 host Aster Itaqua U20 in the Paulista U20 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Sao Caetano U20 at 1.5 goals for, 1.75 against; Aster Itaqua U20 at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Sao Caetano U20 slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2024, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.38, favoring Sao Caetano U20. Sao Caetano U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sao Caetano U20
40%
Draws
29%
Aster Itaqua U20
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Caetano U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aster Itaqua U20.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista U20 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sao Caetano U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Aster Itaqua U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano U20 Aster Itaqua U20
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Paulista U20
Aster Itaqua U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
0:2
Apr 12, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs Aster Itaqua U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Caetano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rito M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aster Itaqua U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano U20 31 / 100
Aster Itaqua U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano U20 Aster Itaqua U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Caetano U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Aster Itaqua U20 let in goals in 55% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sao Caetano U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aster Itaqua U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Caetano U20 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mirassol U201091033:528
2Jose Bonifacio EC U201081124:725
3Olimpia FC U20104159:1813
4Tanabi U201040612:1712
5Rio Preto EC U20102089:236
6Fernandopolis U20101185:224
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino U201091037:528
2Gremio Prudente U201071217:922
3Marilia AC U201051419:1316
4Presidente Prudente U201041515:2113
5Vocem U201012710:235
6Tupa U20100288:352
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo SP U201072143:823
2Sertaozinho U201061317:1719
3Comercial U201035226:2014
4Bandeirante U201032513:2111
5Francana U201031620:2810
6Inter de Bebedouro U201021714:397
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Velo Clube U201081122:525
2Ferroviaria U201062234:520
3XV de Jau U201053227:618
4Rio Claro U201042415:1414
5Sao Carlos U20101277:295
6CA Taquaritinga U20101092:483
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao U201054114:619
2Internacional de Limeira U201045118:1617
3Piracicaba U201051418:1216
4Cosmopolitano Sports U201043310:815
5Rio Branco EC U201031613:1610
6Independente SP U20101279:245
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ponte Preta U201071220:822
2Aguai U201052311:617
3Brasilis U201051415:2016
4Itapirense U201040613:2112
5Porto Football U201033415:1112
6Guacuano U201021711:197
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ituano U201071225:1322
2Desportivo U201070325:1021
3Sao Bento U201061315:1119
4Sfera U201052325:1417
5Comercial FC - Tiete U201030711:199
6Elosport U201000104:380
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Suzano U201072116:623
2Taubate U201053222:1518
3Pinda U201042424:1214
4Sao Jose EC U201035216:1114
5CA Joseense U201033421:2112
6Uniao Mogi U20100194:381
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U201071223:822
2Guarani U201063122:821
3SKA Brasil U201044214:1116
4Capivariano U201042418:2014
5Paulinia FU U201013612:276
6Metropolitano FC U20101186:214
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo U2010100038:430
2Referencia U201052318:1917
3Osasco Sporting U201051418:1016
4Osasco Audax U20102269:198
5GE Osasco U201022621:338
6Clube Vital U201021710:297
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U201091044:228
2Ibrachina U201071224:1122
3Portuguesa U201042413:1714
4Flamengo SP U20103168:2110
5Nacional SP U201024411:1310
6Guarulhos U20100195:411
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians U201072118:423
2Sao Caetano U201072112:423
3Agua Santa U201032511:1511
4Aster Itaqua U20103255:1111
5EC Sao Bernardo U20102357:109
6CA Juventus U20101366:156
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos U201081138:425
2Santo Andre U201071218:1622
3Portuguesa Santista U201052319:2017
4Maua FC U201050515:1515
5Jabaquara U20101369:186
6Mauaense U20100199:351