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Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gigante P.
6'
Daniel Lamberti
32' Event
Tche Tche

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Sao Caetano
35%
Draws
58%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Jose EC lately — more wins on the board than Sao Caetano.
  • Sao Jose EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sao Jose EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Jose EC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 15%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.06 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Caetano
0:0
Jul 20, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Caetano
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC
0:2
Aug 19, 2023 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Caetano Compare

Top Goalscorer Gigante P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tche Tche
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeffinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano 10 / 100
Sao Jose EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano Sao Jose EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose EC let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sao Caetano scored in 56% of their last 36 games.

Solid form: Sao Caetano remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Caetano VS Sao Jose EC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Caetano

(Home)
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 8

Sao Jose EC

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0
Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)