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Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Mon, Jul 20, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Caetano host Sao Jose EC in the Copa Paulista. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Sao Caetano at 1.88 goals for, 1.13 against; Sao Jose EC at 1.25 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Sao Caetano have won 1 to Sao Jose EC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Sao Jose EC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Caetano
44%
Draws
20%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Jose EC lately — more wins on the board than Sao Caetano.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Paulista fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Caetano
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC
0:2
Aug 19, 2023 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC
0:2
Jul 15, 2023 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Caetano
2:0
Mar 23, 2014 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Caetano
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano 36 / 100
Sao Jose EC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano Sao Jose EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose EC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Sao Caetano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Sao Jose EC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Caetano VS Sao Jose EC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marilia00000:00
2Linense00000:00
3Bandeirante00000:00
4Gremio Prudente00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Noroeste00000:00
2Uniao Sao Joao00000:00
3Comercial00000:00
4Piracicaba00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juventus-SP00000:00
2Paulista00000:00
3Osasco Sporting00000:00
4Primavera EC00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santo Andre00000:00
2Sao Caetano00000:00
3EC Sao Bernardo00000:00
4Sao Jose EC00000:00