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Sao Caetano W vs Sao Jose W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Caetano W play Sao Jose W in the Paulista Women 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Caetano W averaged 2.35 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Sao Jose W averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Caetano W won 0, Sao Jose W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 29, 2013 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.85 for Sao Caetano W and 0.80 for Sao Jose W. This points to a Sao Jose W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Caetano W
15%
Draws
49%
Sao Jose W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Sao Caetano W picked up more points recently compared to Sao Jose W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.85 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Sao Caetano W Clean Sheet 26%
Sao Jose W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano W Sao Jose W
Matches Played 31 55
Wins 14 32
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 2.35 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.78

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2013 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Sao Caetano W
1:0
May 12, 2013 Paulista Women
Sao Caetano W vs Sao Jose W
1:3
Oct 2, 2010 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Sao Caetano W
2:0
Aug 29, 2010 Paulista Women
Sao Caetano W vs Sao Jose W
0:1
Aug 21, 2010 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Sao Caetano W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano W 38 / 100
Sao Jose W 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano W Sao Jose W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sao Jose W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Caetano W attacking → ← attacking Sao Jose W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Caetano W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Sao Jose W let in goals in 71% of their last 55 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sao Caetano W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sao Jose W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 98
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771