Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2023

Pinheirense U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2023 encounter between Sao-Carlense U20 and Pinheirense U20 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Sao-Carlense U20 averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Pinheirense U20 shows a form average of 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Sao-Carlense U20, 1 wins for Pinheirense U20, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.01.23 ended in a 1:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Sao-Carlense U20 and 1.00 for Pinheirense U20, suggesting the primary value lies in the Pinheirense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Sao-Carlense U20

40%

Draws

30%

Pinheirense U20

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Pinheirense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Sao-Carlense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Pinheirense U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Sao-Carlense U20 Clean Sheet 23%

Pinheirense U20 Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao-Carlense U20	Pinheirense U20
Matches Played	13	13
Wins	1	4
Draws	6	2
Losses	6	7
Goals Scored	0.85	2.31
Goals Conceded	1.54	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

06.01.23 Copinha

Sao-Carlense U20 vs Pinheirense U20

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:4

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Sao-Carlense U20

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Pinheirense U20

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao-Carlense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubinho

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Pinheirense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Roxo

2 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.85

Avg xA / game 1.74

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao-Carlense U20 32 / 100

Pinheirense U20 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao-Carlense U20 Pinheirense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pinheirense U20 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Sao-Carlense U20 33%

Pinheirense U20 24%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Sao-Carlense U20 29%

Pinheirense U20 32%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Sao-Carlense U20 30%

Pinheirense U20 30%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Sao-Carlense U20 32%

Pinheirense U20 29%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Sao-Carlense U20 27%

Pinheirense U20 33%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Sao-Carlense U20 35%

Pinheirense U20 35%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao-Carlense U20 attacking → ← attacking Pinheirense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao-Carlense U20 have found the net in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Pinheirense U20 have conceded at least one goal in 85% of their last 13 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Sao-Carlense U20 remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Pinheirense U20 suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 14

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.13

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tanabi U20	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Real Ariquemes U20	3	2	1	4:2	6
3	Portuguesa U20	3	1	2	3:4	3
4	Nautico U20	3	0	3	1:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mirassol U20	3	3	0	0	6:1	9
2	Chapecoense-SC U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Uniao ABC U20	3	1	1	1	3:4	4
4	Inter de Minas U20	3	0	0	3	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	3	3	0	7:2	9
2	Juazeirense U20	3	2	1	6:4	6
3	Rio Preto EC U20	3	1	2	3:4	3
4	America SP U20	3	0	3	2:8	0
5	Santana EC U20	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico GO U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Sampaio Correa U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Itabaiana U20	3	0	3	0	7:7	3
4	Botafogo SP U20	3	0	1	2	6:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Floresta EC U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
3	XV de Jau U20	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Aparecidense U20	3	1	0	2	2:3	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ceilandia U20	3	1	2	0	5:3	5
2	Avai U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Catanduva U20	3	1	1	1	3:4	4
4	America RN U20	3	0	2	1	5:6	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Athletico-PR U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Picos U20	3	2	0	1	6:7	6
3	Barretos EC U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Sao Bento U20	3	0	0	3	4:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio U20	3	2	1	0	6:1	7
2	Guarani U20	3	1	1	1	5:4	4
3	Francana U20	3	1	0	2	3:8	3
4	Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20	3	0	2	1	1:2	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cuiaba U20	3	2	0	1	12:2	6
2	Parauapebas U20	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Velo Clube U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
4	Tupa U20	3	0	1	2	1:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20	3	3	0	14:1	9
2	Capivariano U20	3	2	1	8:7	6
3	Penapolense U20	3	1	2	2:7	3
4	Comercial MS U20	3	0	3	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Recife U20	3	2	1	0	4:0	7
2	Comercial U20	3	1	2	0	3:1	5
3	Internacional de Limeira U20	3	0	2	1	3:5	2
4	Volta Redonda U20	3	0	1	2	2:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians U20	3	3	0	11:1	9
2	Zumbi U20	3	2	1	4:4	6
3	Ferroviaria U20	3	1	2	2:6	3
4	Fast Clube U20	3	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Goias U20	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	AC Guaratingueta U20	3	1	2	0	4:3	5
3	Tirol U20	3	1	1	1	6:3	4
4	Gama U20	3	0	0	3	2:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fluminense U20	3	3	0	0	9:0	9
2	Porto Vitoria U20	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
3	Imperatriz U20	3	1	0	2	4:10	3
4	Taubate U20	3	0	1	2	1:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino U20	3	2	1	6:3	6
2	Vitoria da Conquista U20	3	2	1	5:4	6
3	Figueirense U20	3	1	2	5:6	3
4	Uniao Suzano U20	3	1	2	3:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coritiba U20	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
2	Flamengo SP U20	3	2	1	0	3:1	7
3	EC Sao Jose (PA) U20	3	1	0	2	4:5	3
4	Guarulhos U20	3	0	0	3	3:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo U20	3	3	0	0	10:0	9
2	CSP U20	3	1	1	1	3:5	4
3	Marilia AC U20	3	0	2	1	3:6	2
4	Porto Velho U20	3	0	1	2	2:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	America MG U20	3	3	0	0	9:2	9
2	Retro U20	3	1	1	1	6:5	4
3	Ponte Preta U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Vocem U20	3	0	0	3	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo RJ U20	3	3	0	0	8:1	9
2	Sao Carlos U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Pinheirense U20	3	1	0	2	5:7	3
4	Sao-Carlense U20	3	0	1	2	3:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bragantino U20	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
2	Lemense U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Maringa FC U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
4	ABC U20	3	1	0	2	3:5	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ituano U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Desportivo U20	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
3	Camboriu U20	3	1	0	2	3:5	3
4	CRB U20	3	0	0	3	2:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rio Claro U20	3	3	0	0	4:1	9
2	Sharjah Brasil U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Madureira U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Ceara U20	3	0	0	3	2:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	SKA Brasil U20	3	3	0	6:1	9
2	Aster Brasil U20	3	2	1	4:3	6
3	Parana U20	3	1	2	2:4	3
4	Vitoria U20	3	0	3	0:4	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Internacional U20	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	Osasco Sporting U20	3	2	1	0	2:0	7
3	Atletico Central U20	3	1	0	2	4:3	3
4	Fluminense Piaui U20	3	0	0	3	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Sao Bernardo U20	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
2	Bahia U20	3	1	2	0	1:0	5
3	Operario PR U20	3	0	2	1	3:4	2
4	CSA U20	3	0	2	1	3:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santo Andre U20	3	2	1	0	8:1	7
2	Santos U20	3	2	0	1	5:4	6
3	Falcon U20	3	1	1	1	3:4	4
4	Sao Raimundo RR U20	3	0	0	3	2:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG U20	3	3	0	7:3	9
2	Agua Santa U20	3	2	1	5:5	6
3	Mixto U20	3	1	2	3:3	3
4	Galvez U20	3	0	3	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova FC U20	3	2	1	0	3:1	7
2	Nova Iguacu U20	3	2	0	1	5:1	6
3	Mauaense U20	3	0	2	1	2:5	2
4	Maua FC U20	3	0	1	2	1:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vasco U20	3	3	0	5:1	9
2	Hercilio Luz U20	3	2	1	7:4	6
3	Osasco Audax U20	3	1	2	1:3	3
4	Capital FC U20	3	0	3	3:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo PB U20	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Ibrachina U20	3	2	1	5:1	6
3	Santa Cruz U20	3	1	2	1:3	3
4	Canaa U20	3	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Remo U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Fortaleza U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
3	CA Juventus U20	3	1	0	2	4:4	3
4	Sao Caetano U20	3	0	2	1	1:3	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Piracicaba U20	3	2	1	0	8:2	7
2	Nacional SP U20	3	2	0	1	6:3	6
3	EC Juventude U20	3	1	1	1	6:5	4
4	Alecrim U20	3	0	0	3	2:12	0