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Sao-Carlense vs Tanabi

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Victhor
45' Event
Romarinho
79' Event
Murilo R.

AI Match Summary

Sao-Carlense in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao-Carlense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sao-Carlense
28%
Draws
22%
Tanabi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao-Carlense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sao-Carlense haven't matched Tanabi's recent run of results.
  • Sao-Carlense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 68%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao-Carlense Tanabi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Tanabi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao-Carlense Compare

Top Goalscorer Victhor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murilo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tanabi Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao-Carlense 59 / 100
Tanabi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao-Carlense Tanabi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao-Carlense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Sao-Carlense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Tanabi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao-Carlense VS Tanabi
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao-Carlense

(Home)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

Tanabi

(Away)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)