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Sao Carlos vs Rio Branco SP Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Branco SP in this Paulista A4 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Branco SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Carlos
20%
Draws
44%
Rio Branco SP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Carlos have won more games recently than Rio Branco SP.
  • Sao Carlos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Carlos Rio Branco SP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.4 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2021 Paulista A4
Sao Carlos vs Rio Branco SP
1:4
Sep 1, 2021 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs Sao Carlos
1:0
Feb 7, 2018 Paulista A3
Sao Carlos vs Rio Branco SP
2:1
Mar 18, 2017 Paulista A3
Rio Branco SP vs Sao Carlos
1:0
Mar 14, 2013 Paulista A2
Rio Branco SP vs Sao Carlos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Carlos 85 / 100
Rio Branco SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Carlos Rio Branco SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Carlos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Carlos scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Rio Branco SP conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Sao Carlos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Carlos VS Rio Branco SP
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Carlos

(Home)
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0
Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1
Paulinense
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0
Independente SP
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Rio Branco SP

(Away)
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0
Rio Branco SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matonense 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro 10 4 3 3 15:9 15
5 Fernandopolis 10 1 4 5 13:20 7
6 America SP 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 2 1 12:7 23
2 Gremio Prudente 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 Vocem 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:11 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 3 5 7:8 9
6 Osvaldo Cruz 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Independente SP 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
3 Sao-Carlense 10 4 5 1 12:6 17
4 Sao Carlos 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
5 Itapirense 10 1 3 6 5:12 6
6 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 3:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 8 2 0 18:5 26
2 Paulista 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
4 Mauaense 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
5 Guarulhos 10 2 3 5 14:21 9
6 Barcelona SP 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano 10 8 2 0 24:3 26
2 Maua FC 10 6 3 1 23:9 21
3 Uniao Mogi 10 4 1 5 15:10 13
4 ECUS SP 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
5 Manthiqueira 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 0 10 6:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams