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Sao Cristovao vs Belford Roxo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Cristovao play Belford Roxo in the Carioca B1 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Cristovao averaged 0.78 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Belford Roxo averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Cristovao won 0, Belford Roxo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 26, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Sao Cristovao and 1.06 for Belford Roxo. This points to a Sao Cristovao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sao Cristovao
33%
Draws
33%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sao Cristovao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Cristovao picked up more points recently compared to Belford Roxo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 22%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Cristovao Belford Roxo
Matches Played 23 20
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.78 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Carioca B1
Sao Cristovao vs Belford Roxo
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Cristovao 35 / 100
Belford Roxo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Cristovao Belford Roxo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sao Cristovao or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Cristovao attacking → ← attacking Belford Roxo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Cristovao scored in 52% of their last 23 games.

Belford Roxo let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Sao Cristovao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Belford Roxo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 23
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Artsul851210:516
2Paduano EC85126:316
3Sao Goncalo834110:213
4Perolas Negras83238:911
5Friburguense82425:410
6Nova Cidade824210:1110
7Sao Cristovao82153:97
8Serrano FC81345:96
9Belford Roxo80625:106