Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Rio

CEAC/Araruama

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Cristovao play CEAC/Araruama in the Copa Rio. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Cristovao averaged 0.77 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. CEAC/Araruama averaged 0.85 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Cristovao won 0, CEAC/Araruama won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 17, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Sao Cristovao and 0.88 for CEAC/Araruama. This points to a CEAC/Araruama double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Sao Cristovao

31%

Draws

35%

CEAC/Araruama

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Sao Cristovao picked up more points recently compared to CEAC/Araruama.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 14%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 25%

CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 40%

Second Half Goal 42%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Cristovao	CEAC/Araruama
Matches Played	22	27
Wins	7	9
Draws	6	9
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	0.77	0.85
Goals Conceded	0.86	0.85
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio

Sao Cristovao vs CEAC/Araruama

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Cristovao 36 / 100

CEAC/Araruama 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Cristovao CEAC/Araruama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CEAC/Araruama or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +33.4%

5.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Cristovao attacking → ← attacking CEAC/Araruama

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Cristovao scored in 50% of their last 22 games.

CEAC/Araruama let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Sao Cristovao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CEAC/Araruama lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 36

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75