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Sao Cristovao vs Duque de Caxias

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Fabinho Polhao
46' Event
Ricardinho

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Sao Cristovao and Duque de Caxias finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Cristovao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sao Cristovao
33%
Draws
27%
Duque de Caxias
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sao Cristovao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Duque de Caxias come out ahead of Sao Cristovao on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sao Cristovao's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 68%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Cristovao Duque de Caxias
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Carioca B1
Sao Cristovao vs Duque de Caxias
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Cristovao Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho Polhao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ricardinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Duque de Caxias Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Cristovao 50 / 100
Duque de Caxias 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Cristovao Duque de Caxias

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Duque de Caxias's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sao Cristovao scored in 52% of their last 23 games.

Duque de Caxias let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Cristovao VS Duque de Caxias
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bonsucesso1164114:722
2Sao Cristovao1154214:819
3Serrano FC1153314:1118
4Duque de Caxias1153310:918
5Niteroiense1144316:1416
6Goncalense1151511:916
7Nova Cidade114439:916
8Campo Grande113629:815
9Artsul1134411:1013
10AA Carapebus113356:1312
11Paduano EC1131712:1810
12Friburguense111193:134