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Sao Cristovao vs Duque de Caxias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event

AI Match Summary

Duque de Caxias in this Carioca B1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duque de Caxias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sao Cristovao
20%
Draws
51%
Duque de Caxias
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duque de Caxias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Duque de Caxias lately — more wins on the board than Sao Cristovao.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 23%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Cristovao Duque de Caxias
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.76 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Carioca B1
Sao Cristovao vs Duque de Caxias
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Carioca B1
Sao Cristovao vs Duque de Caxias
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Cristovao 37 / 100
Duque de Caxias 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Cristovao Duque de Caxias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque de Caxias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Cristovao has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sao Cristovao scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Duque de Caxias conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Cristovao VS Duque de Caxias
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Cristovao

(Home)
10 Oct
Sao Cristovao
1 : 1
Goytacaz
03 Oct
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Sao Cristovao
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
Page 1 of 6

Duque de Caxias

(Away)
10 Oct
Duque de Caxias
1 : 0
Audax RJ
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Niteroiense
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 6 5 1 0 10:2 16
2 Duque de Caxias 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
3 Serrano FC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Goytacaz 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
5 Goncalense 6 2 4 0 7:4 10
6 Artsul 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Campo Grande 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
8 Macae 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
9 Sao Cristovao 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
10 Nova Cidade 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
11 Audax RJ 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
12 AA Carapebus 6 0 1 5 5:13 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)