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Sao Cristovao vs Friburguense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Fabinho Polhao
61' Event
Patryck
88' Event
Alves de Macedo I.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 game between Sao Cristovao and Friburguense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Cristovao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sao Cristovao
22%
Draws
18%
Friburguense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sao Cristovao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Cristovao come out ahead of Friburguense on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Sao Cristovao taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 68%
Friburguense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Cristovao Friburguense
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Carioca B1
Sao Cristovao vs Friburguense
3:1
Oct 12, 2024 Carioca B1
Sao Cristovao vs Friburguense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Cristovao Compare

Top Goalscorer Patryck
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fabinho Polhao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Friburguense Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves de Macedo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Cristovao 68 / 100
Friburguense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Cristovao Friburguense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Friburguense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Friburguense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Cristovao found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (23 games).

Scoring Trends

Sao Cristovao VS Friburguense
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bonsucesso1164114:722
2Sao Cristovao1154214:819
3Serrano FC1153314:1118
4Duque de Caxias1153310:918
5Niteroiense1144316:1416
6Goncalense1151511:916
7Nova Cidade114439:916
8Campo Grande113629:815
9Artsul1134411:1013
10AA Carapebus113356:1312
11Paduano EC1131712:1810
12Friburguense111193:134