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Sao Domingos U20 vs Guarany Alagoano U20

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Alagoano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Domingos U20 play Guarany Alagoano U20 in the Alagoano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Domingos U20 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. Guarany Alagoano U20 averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Domingos U20 won 0, Guarany Alagoano U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 1, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.15 for Sao Domingos U20 and 2.27 for Guarany Alagoano U20. This points to a Guarany Alagoano U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sao Domingos U20
20%
Draws
46%
Guarany Alagoano U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarany Alagoano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Domingos U20 picked up more points recently compared to Guarany Alagoano U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.15 vs 2.27 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Sao Domingos U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Guarany Alagoano U20 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Domingos U20 Guarany Alagoano U20
Matches Played 6 14
Wins 2 5
Draws 1 3
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Alagoano U20
Sao Domingos U20 vs Guarany Alagoano U20
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Domingos U20 33 / 100
Guarany Alagoano U20 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Domingos U20 Guarany Alagoano U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guarany Alagoano U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Domingos U20 attacking → ← attacking Guarany Alagoano U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Domingos U20 scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Guarany Alagoano U20 let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sao Domingos U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guarany Alagoano U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 18
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSA U20660016:218
2Guarani de Paripueira U20640220:1112
3Desportiva Alianca U20640214:712
4Grota do Facao U20640212:512
5Rio Largo U2061148:74
6Ubertec U2061147:204
7Satuba U2060063:280
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CRB U20660032:318
2Coruripe U20641116:413
3Guarany Alagoano U2063128:810
4Sao Domingos U2062137:167
5UNEC U2062138:197
6Santa Cruz AL U2061056:123
7Ponte Preta AL U2060241:162
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zumbi U20431017:010
2Azzurra U20431013:210
3Independente Atalaia U2042025:116
4Murici U2041036:153
5DZM Passo U2000000:00
6Lajense U2040043:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Liga do Sertao U20641111:413
2SC Penedense U2063309:512
3Clube Sociedade Esportiva U2062408:510
4ASA U2062227:68
5Cruzeiro Arapiraca U2062226:78
6Dimensao Capela U2061143:64
7CAP Paulo Jacinto U2060153:141
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jacioba U20651017:516
2Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U20650117:515
3Canoense U2063126:810
4Gaviao Izidorense U2062136:107
5Flamengo do Ipiranga U2062049:146
6Talisma U2061149:134
7Sao Sebastiao U2061054:133