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Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Nauas EC

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Leozinho

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2 2025 game between Sao Francisco FC (AC) and Nauas EC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Francisco FC (AC).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
30%
Draws
34%
Nauas EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nauas EC haven't matched Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sao Francisco FC (AC) here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 20%
Nauas EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Francisco FC (AC) Nauas EC
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.88 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Acreano 2
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Nauas EC
1:0
Mar 26, 2024 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0:2
Mar 18, 2023 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1:2
Apr 14, 2022 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Nauas EC
3:0
Jul 31, 2021 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Top Goalscorer Leozinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nauas EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco FC (AC) 36 / 100
Nauas EC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Nauas EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nauas EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Nauas EC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sao Francisco FC (AC) VS Nauas EC
1.88 Goals Scored 0.4
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Francisco FC (AC)

(Home)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
24 Feb
SC Humaita
7 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
12 Feb
Santa Cruz AC
5 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
29 Jan
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 6
Rio Branco AC
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Nauas EC

(Away)
13 Sept
Santa Cruz AC
8 : 0
Nauas EC
06 Sept
Nauas EC
1 : 4
Atletico Acreano
28 Aug
Nauas EC
1 : 4
Andira
21 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 0
Nauas EC
12 Aug
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1 : 0
Nauas EC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Francisco FC (AC)540111:412
2Santa Cruz AC532022:211
3Atletico Acreano531115:610
4Andira52129:107
5Placido de Castro51042:213
6Nauas EC50052:180
Promotion - Acreano 2 2025 (Play Offs)