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Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Senador Guiomard

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Eduardo Lopes
46'
Brener
76' Event
Eduardo Lopes

AI Match Summary

Senador Guiomard in this Acreano matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Senador Guiomard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
6%
Draws
90%
Senador Guiomard
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Senador Guiomard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Senador Guiomard haven't matched Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s recent run of results.
  • Senador Guiomard are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 20%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Francisco FC (AC) Senador Guiomard
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Senador Guiomard
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Senador Guiomard
0:0
Mar 15, 2009 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0:2
Apr 10, 2008 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Senador Guiomard Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Lopes
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco FC (AC) 10 / 100
Senador Guiomard 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Senador Guiomard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senador Guiomard let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Senador Guiomard lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sao Francisco FC (AC) scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Francisco FC (AC) VS Senador Guiomard
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Francisco FC (AC)

(Home)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
24 Feb
SC Humaita
7 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
12 Feb
Santa Cruz AC
5 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
29 Jan
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 6
Rio Branco AC
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Senador Guiomard

(Away)
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
02 Mar
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube
11 Feb
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Rio Branco AC
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
31 Jan
Senador Guiomard
1 : 1
Galvez
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1
Promotion - Acreano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2 2027 (Main)