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Sao Gabriel MS U20 vs Novoperario U20

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Sao Gabriel MS U20 host Novoperario U20 in the Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Sao Gabriel MS U20 at 1.38 goals for, 0.88 against; Novoperario U20 at 1.13 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Sao Gabriel MS U20 slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2024, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.00) back Sao Gabriel MS U20 to edge this. Sao Gabriel MS U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Gabriel MS U20
44%
Draws
20%
Novoperario U20
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Gabriel MS U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Novoperario U20.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sao Gabriel MS U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Novoperario U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel MS U20 Novoperario U20
Matches Played 14 8
Wins 7 2
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense U20
Novoperario U20 vs Sao Gabriel MS U20
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense U20
Sao Gabriel MS U20 vs Novoperario U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel MS U20 36 / 100
Novoperario U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel MS U20 Novoperario U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Gabriel MS U20 scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

Novoperario U20 let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sao Gabriel MS U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Novoperario U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Gabriel MS U20 VS Novoperario U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AA Portuguesa U20631212:810
2Comercial MS U20631213:1110
3Aquidauanense U20623115:109
4Corumbaense U2061147:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dourados U20633010:412
2Operario AC U2063217:411
3Ivinhema U2062139:127
4Sete de Dourados U2060241:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Gabriel MS U20651010:216
2Uniao ABC U2062225:78
3Novoperario U2062137:57
4Campo Grande U2061054:123