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Sao Gabriel MS U20 vs Operario AC U20

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Sao Gabriel MS U20 host Operario AC U20 in the Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Sao Gabriel MS U20 have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Operario AC U20's 1.5 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Sao Gabriel MS U20 have won 0 to Operario AC U20's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 28, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.31, favoring Operario AC U20. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Gabriel MS U20
6%
Draws
4%
Operario AC U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Gabriel MS U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario AC U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sao Gabriel MS U20.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sao Gabriel MS U20.
  • Cup tournament structure in Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sao Gabriel MS U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Operario AC U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel MS U20 Operario AC U20
Matches Played 14 16
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense U20
Operario AC U20 vs Sao Gabriel MS U20
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense U20
Sao Gabriel MS U20 vs Operario AC U20
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel MS U20 85 / 100
Operario AC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel MS U20 Operario AC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Gabriel MS U20 scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

Operario AC U20 let in goals in 56% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sao Gabriel MS U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Operario AC U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Gabriel MS U20 VS Operario AC U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Aquidauanense U201
Uniao ABC U203
Operario AC U205
Sao Gabriel MS U201
Comercial MS U203
Novoperario U202
AA Portuguesa U202
Dourados U206
Semi-finals
Uniao ABC U200
Operario AC U202
Comercial MS U202
Dourados U203
Final
Operario AC U203
Dourados U202