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Sao Gabriel MS vs Aquidauanense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS Logo

Sao Gabriel MS

1 - 2
FT
Aquidauanense Logo

Aquidauanense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 game between Sao Gabriel MS and Aquidauanense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aquidauanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sao Gabriel MS
20%
Draws
71%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Aquidauanense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aquidauanense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sao Gabriel MS Clean Sheet 10%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel MS Aquidauanense
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.71 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS vs Aquidauanense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel MS 10 / 100
Aquidauanense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel MS Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquidauanense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sao Gabriel MS's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sao Gabriel MS stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Gabriel MS VS Aquidauanense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.57
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.57
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Gabriel MS

(Home)
02 Aug
7 de Setembro
4 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
27 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 4

Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 7 6 0 1 11:4 18
2 Misto 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
3 Comercial MS 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 7 de Setembro 7 3 2 2 12:6 11
5 Uniao ABC 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
6 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
7 Sao Gabriel MS 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 EC Campo Grande 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
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