Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Goncalo vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo Logo

Sao Goncalo

2 - 0
FT
Bonsucesso Logo

Bonsucesso

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
de Sa Fernandes M.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Pedro China
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Sao Goncalo and Bonsucesso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Goncalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sao Goncalo
35%
Draws
32%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Goncalo haven't matched Bonsucesso's recent run of results.
  • Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Bonsucesso
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Bonsucesso
2:0
Sep 23, 2020 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Bonsucesso
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Goncalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro China
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bonsucesso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 77 / 100
Bonsucesso 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Goncalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonsucesso let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sao Goncalo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sao Goncalo scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Bonsucesso
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Goncalo

(Home)
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
Page 1 of 7

Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)