Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Goncalo vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
de Sa Fernandes M.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Pedro China

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Sao Goncalo and Bonsucesso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Goncalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sao Goncalo
28%
Draws
22%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bonsucesso have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Sao Goncalo are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Bonsucesso
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Bonsucesso
2:0
Sep 23, 2020 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Bonsucesso
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Goncalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro China
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bonsucesso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 59 / 100
Bonsucesso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Bonsucesso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Goncalo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Goncalo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bonsucesso let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Bonsucesso
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179