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Sao Goncalo vs Nova Cidade

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Sao Goncalo Logo

Sao Goncalo

1 - 1
FT
Nova Cidade Logo

Nova Cidade

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Leo Itaperuna
42' Event
Marcelinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2024 game between Sao Goncalo and Nova Cidade finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sao Goncalo
30%
Draws
23%
Nova Cidade
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Goncalo come out ahead of Nova Cidade on wins alone.
  • Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Nova Cidade
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.11 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Carioca B1
Sao Goncalo vs Nova Cidade
1:1
Nov 14, 2020 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Nova Cidade
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Goncalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Itaperuna
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nova Cidade Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 85 / 100
Nova Cidade 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Nova Cidade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Goncalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Cidade has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Goncalo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nova Cidade's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Nova Cidade
0.63 Goals Scored 0.6
1 Goals Conceded 1.6
63% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 60%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Goncalo

(Home)
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
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Nova Cidade

(Away)
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)