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Sao Goncalo vs Olaria Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Sao Goncalo and Olaria finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sao Goncalo
35%
Draws
25%
Olaria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Goncalo have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Olaria are scoring more at 1.
  • Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Olaria Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Olaria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Olaria
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Olaria
3:0
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Sao Goncalo
0:0
May 26, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Sao Goncalo
2:1
Nov 25, 2020 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Sao Goncalo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 77 / 100
Olaria 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Olaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Goncalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sao Goncalo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sao Goncalo found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Olaria let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Olaria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Goncalo

(Home)
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
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Olaria

(Away)
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0
Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)