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Sao Goncalo vs Resende

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Vitor J.
49' Event
Rocha B.
80'
Edmario

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Sao Goncalo and Resende finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Resende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Goncalo
6%
Draws
4%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Resende come out ahead of Sao Goncalo on wins alone.
  • Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Resende
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Resende
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Resende
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Goncalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 95 / 100
Resende 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Goncalo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sao Goncalo scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Resende conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Resende
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Goncalo

(Home)
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
27 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 3
Sao Goncalo
24 Jun
Sao Goncalo
3 : 2
Serrano FC
Page 1 of 6

Resende

(Away)
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
11 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)