Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Joao de Ver vs Braga B

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio Clube de São João de Ver
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Castro J.
19' Event
Merheg S. J.
Assist: Goncalves J.
40' Event
Rai Nascimento
Assist: Valente R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Sao Joao de Ver and Braga B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Joao de Ver
6%
Draws
4%
Braga B
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Joao de Ver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Braga B's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Sao Joao de Ver have produced (1).
  • Model gives Sao Joao de Ver a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 68%
Braga B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver Braga B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Braga B
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Braga B
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sao Joao de Ver
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Joao de Ver Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai Nascimento
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Braga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Merheg S. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 95 / 100
Braga B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver Braga B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga B has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sao Joao de Ver stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Braga B's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS Braga B
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%