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Sao Joao de Ver vs Braga B Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio Clube de São João de Ver, Aveiro
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Match Events

13'
Castro J.
19' Event
Merheg S. J.
Assist: Goncalves J.
40' Event
Rai Nascimento
Assist: Valente R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Sao Joao de Ver and Braga B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Sao Joao de Ver
35%
Draws
55%
Braga B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Braga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Braga B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Braga B a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 16%
Braga B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver Braga B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.84 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Braga B
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Braga B
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sao Joao de Ver
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Joao de Ver Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai Nascimento
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Braga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Merheg S. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 10 / 100
Braga B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver Braga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Joao de Ver scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Braga B has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sao Joao de Ver stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS Braga B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joao de Ver

(Home)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3
AD Fafe
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Braga B

(Away)
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1
Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
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