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Sao Joao de Ver vs Oliveirense

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Silva J.

AI Match Summary

Oliveirense in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oliveirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sao Joao de Ver
17%
Draws
13%
Oliveirense
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sao Joao de Ver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sao Joao de Ver at 1.25 per game, Oliveirense at 0.63.
  • Model gives Sao Joao de Ver a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 20%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver Oliveirense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Sao Joao de Ver vs Oliveirense
0:1
Jan 29, 2022 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Oliveirense
1:1
Oct 23, 2021 Liga 3
Oliveirense vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Joao de Ver Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Oliveirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 67 / 100
Oliveirense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver Oliveirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveirense let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Sao Joao de Ver went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sao Joao de Ver scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS Oliveirense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%