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Sao Joao de Ver vs Vitoria Guimaraes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio Clube de São João de Ver, Aveiro
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Joao de Ver host Vitoria Guimaraes B in the Liga 3. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Sao Joao de Ver at 1 goals for, 1.03 against; Vitoria Guimaraes B at 1.31 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Sao Joao de Ver slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.13, favoring Vitoria Guimaraes B. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sao Joao de Ver
35%
Draws
25%
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Joao de Ver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes B have won more games recently than Sao Joao de Ver.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sao Joao de Ver taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver Vitoria Guimaraes B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
0:2
Jan 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sao Joao de Ver vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
0:0
Aug 20, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:2
Feb 4, 2023 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 40 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver Vitoria Guimaraes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Joao de Ver Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Joao de Ver scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes B let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sao Joao de Ver has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS Vitoria Guimaraes B
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joao de Ver

(Home)
01 Nov
Paredes
2 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
25 Oct
SC Vianense
1 : 3
Sao Joao de Ver
11 Oct
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 1
Varzim
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
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Vitoria Guimaraes B

(Away)
01 Nov
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 2
SC Vianense
25 Oct
Varzim
2 : 4
Vitoria Guimaraes B
11 Oct
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 1
Pacos Ferreira
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
2 AD Marco 09 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
3 AD Fafe 8 3 4 1 13:7 13
4 Leca 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
5 SC Vianense 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
6 Vitoria Guimaraes B 8 2 3 3 10:10 9
7 Sao Joao de Ver 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
8 Varzim 8 3 0 5 11:13 9
9 Pacos Ferreira 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
10 Trofense 8 1 2 5 4:15 5
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 8 6 2 0 18:6 20
2 Atletico CP 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Mafra 8 3 3 2 16:11 12
4 Caldas SC 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
5 Oliveirense 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
6 Santarem 8 3 1 4 9:14 10
7 Louletano 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
8 Covilha 8 1 4 3 5:8 7
9 Vitoria Sernache 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
10 Lusitano GC 8 1 3 4 6:11 6
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)