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Sao Joao del Rei vs Araxa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Sao Joao del Rei Logo

Sao Joao del Rei

2 - 0
FT
Araxa Logo

Araxa

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kaue Muniz
40' Event
Nata
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Joao del Rei in this Mineiro 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Joao del Rei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Sao Joao del Rei
15%
Draws
30%
Araxa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Joao del Rei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Araxa have won more games recently than Sao Joao del Rei.
  • Model gives Sao Joao del Rei a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sao Joao del Rei Clean Sheet 20%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao del Rei Araxa
Matches Played 4 20
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 6
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.42 0.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Mineiro 3
Sao Joao del Rei vs Araxa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Joao del Rei Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaue Muniz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.32
Avg xA / game 0.21

Araxa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.15

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao del Rei 58 / 100
Araxa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao del Rei Araxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Joao del Rei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Araxa conceded in 60% of 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Araxa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Joao del Rei's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao del Rei VS Araxa
0.6 Goals Scored 0.13
0.4 Goals Conceded 0.25
20% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joao del Rei

(Home)
09 Oct
Sao Joao del Rei
1 : 0
Paracatu
02 Oct
Sao Joao del Rei
0 : 1
Betim FC 2
26 Sept
Funorte EC
1 : 0
Sao Joao del Rei
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa

Araxa

(Away)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venda Nova FC 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Nacional de Muriae 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Novo Esporte 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
4 Nova Lavras 4 2 0 2 18:4 6
5 Inter de Minas 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
6 Santarritense 4 0 0 4 1:31 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betim FC 2 4 4 0 0 6:0 12
2 Paracatu 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
4 Funorte EC 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
5 Araxa 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
6 Siderurgica 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)