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Sao Jose EC vs Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Albano
38' Event
Thomaz
62'
Iran

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Sao Jose EC and Ferroviaria finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Jose EC
44%
Draws
20%
Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviaria's 0.75 goals per match outpaces what Sao Jose EC have produced (0).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 24%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC Ferroviaria
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Paulista A2
Ferroviaria vs Sao Jose EC
4:1
Mar 25, 2026 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Ferroviaria
0:1
Feb 18, 2026 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Ferroviaria
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Paulista A2
Ferroviaria vs Sao Jose EC
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Ferroviaria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomaz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Albano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC 37 / 100
Ferroviaria 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC Ferroviaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Jose EC scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ferroviaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Sao Jose EC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose EC VS Ferroviaria
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Agua Santa15101424:1431
2Ferroviaria1584322:1228
3Ituano1584322:1428
4Sao Jose EC1583421:1327
5Sertaozinho1574419:1925
6Votuporanguense1573516:1724
7Juventus-SP1565422:2023
8Piracicaba1564516:1522
9Osasco Sporting1557322:1822
10Santo Andre1553716:2218
11Taubate1538422:2317
12Internacional de Limeira1544715:1816
13Linense1527612:1813
14Monte Azul1526717:2212
15Gremio Prudente1519512:1612
16Sao Bento1512128:255