Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Jose EC vs Santo Andre

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Thomaz
90' Event
Santos Oliveira L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sao Jose EC
30%
Draws
33%
Santo Andre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Santo Andre haven't matched Sao Jose EC's recent run of results.
  • Sao Jose EC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Sao Jose EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Jose EC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sao Jose EC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC Santo Andre
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Santo Andre
2:0
Aug 2, 2026 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Sao Jose EC
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Sao Jose EC
0:3
Aug 3, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Santo Andre
3:1
Jun 28, 2025 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Sao Jose EC
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomaz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos Oliveira L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Santo Andre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC 77 / 100
Santo Andre 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC Santo Andre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Jose EC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sao Jose EC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Santo Andre let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose EC VS Santo Andre
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose EC

(Home)
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
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Santo Andre

(Away)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)