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Sao Jose EC vs Sao Bento Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025 Estadio Martins Pereira, Sao Jose dos Campos
Sat, Aug 30, 2025
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Leo Principe
74' Event
Luis Otavio
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sao Jose EC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sao Jose EC
35%
Draws
20%
Sao Bento
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Jose EC come out ahead of Sao Bento on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sao Jose EC taking it.
  • Sao Jose EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Jose EC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 14%
Sao Bento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC Sao Bento
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.48 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A2
Sao Bento vs Sao Jose EC
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Bento
2:1
Aug 25, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Bento vs Sao Jose EC
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Bento
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Paulista A2
Sao Bento vs Sao Jose EC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Otavio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sao Bento Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Principe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC 84 / 100
Sao Bento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC Sao Bento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Jose EC scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Sao Jose EC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Bento's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose EC VS Sao Bento
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose EC

(Home)
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
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Sao Bento

(Away)
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2
Sao Bento
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Sao Bento
1 : 0
Linense
22 Feb
Juventus-SP
0 : 0
Sao Bento
18 Feb
Votuporanguense
3 : 1
Sao Bento
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Piracicaba 2
AEA Aracatuba 1
Portuguesa Santista 1
Osasco Sporting 2
Sao Jose EC 3
Sao Bento 2
Comercial 2
Internacional de Limeira 1
Uniao Sao Joao 3
Noroeste 1
Primavera EC 2
Paulista 1
Gremio Prudente 2
Sao Caetano 0
Monte Azul 2
Francana 3
Quarter-finals
Piracicaba 3
Osasco Sporting 0
Sao Jose EC 0
Comercial 2
Uniao Sao Joao 0
Primavera EC 6
Gremio Prudente 4
Francana 1
Semi-finals
Piracicaba 2
Comercial 1
Primavera EC 3
Gremio Prudente 2
Final
Piracicaba 2
Primavera EC 1