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Sao Jose (MA) vs Sao Luis Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Luis in this Maranhense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sao Jose (MA)
15%
Draws
59%
Sao Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Luis have won more games recently than Sao Jose (MA).
  • Win probability leans Sao Luis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sao Luis here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 12%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose (MA) Sao Luis
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Maranhense 2
Sao Jose (MA) vs Sao Luis
0:2
Oct 29, 2024 Maranhense 2
Sao Jose (MA) vs Sao Luis
1:1
Oct 17, 2024 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Sao Jose (MA)
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose (MA) 10 / 100
Sao Luis 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose (MA) Sao Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sao Luis conceded in 68% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Sao Jose (MA) scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Sao Jose (MA) stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose (MA) VS Sao Luis
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose (MA)

(Home)
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
14 Jun
Tupan
2 : 3
Sao Jose (MA)
30 May
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 6

Sao Luis

(Away)
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Jun
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)