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Sao Jose (TO) vs Bela Vista-TO

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose (TO) host Bela Vista-TO in the Tocantinense 2 2024. Sao Jose (TO) go into this one as the clear favorite. Sao Jose (TO) have averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Bela Vista-TO's 1.5 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Sao Jose (TO) slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sao Jose (TO). Sao Jose (TO) in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sao Jose (TO)
22%
Draws
18%
Bela Vista-TO
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sao Jose (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Bela Vista-TO has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sao Jose (TO).
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Sao Jose (TO).
  • Cup tournament structure in Tocantinense 2 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 20%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose (TO) Bela Vista-TO
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Bela Vista-TO vs Sao Jose (TO)
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Sao Jose (TO) vs Bela Vista-TO
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose (TO) 58 / 100
Bela Vista-TO 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose (TO) Bela Vista-TO

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (TO) scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Bela Vista-TO let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sao Jose (TO) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bela Vista-TO lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose (TO) VS Bela Vista-TO
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SD Sparta2
Araguaia (TO)1
Bela Vista-TO4
Sao Jose (TO)2
Batalhao5
Araguacema4
Interporto2
Guarai SC4
Semi-finals
SD Sparta1
Bela Vista-TO2
Batalhao5
Guarai SC1
Final
Bela Vista-TO5
Batalhao2