Sport Picks

Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women

Araguari W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose W play Araguari W in the Brasileiro A3 Women. Sao Jose W are favorites here. Recently, Sao Jose W averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Araguari W averaged 0.62 goals scored and 6.85 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Jose W won 2, Araguari W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Sao Jose W and 1.38 for Araguari W. This points to a Sao Jose W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

Sao Jose W

15%

Draws

17%

Araguari W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

Sao Jose W picked up more points recently compared to Araguari W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Sao Jose W Clean Sheet 17%

Araguari W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Jose W	Araguari W
Matches Played	30	13
Wins	9	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	21	12
Goals Scored	1.27	0.62
Goals Conceded	2.9	6.85
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	6.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Brasileiro A3 Women

Sao Jose W vs Araguari W

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

4:0

Mar 20, 2026 Brasileiro A3 Women

Araguari W vs Sao Jose W

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

0:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose W 65 / 100

Araguari W 17 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Jose W Araguari W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Sao Jose W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.6%

1.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Jose W attacking → ← attacking Araguari W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Araguari W let in goals in 100% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Sao Jose W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Araguari W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 3

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penarol W	6	5	0	1	18:5	15
2	Rolim de Moura W	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Itapuense W	6	1	1	4	7:11	4
4	Galvez W	6	1	1	4	2:16	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Planalto EC W	6	3	2	1	13:6	11
2	Pantanal W	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Várzea Grande EC W	6	2	2	2	12:9	8
4	Cresspom W	6	1	0	5	7:21	-3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Realidade Jovem W	6	6	0	14:2	18
2	Heips W	6	4	2	8:7	12
3	Sao Jose W	6	2	4	14:9	6
4	Araguari W	6	0	6	0:18	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coritiba W	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Criciuma W	6	3	0	3	7:8	9
3	Brasil de Farroupilha W	6	2	2	2	6:5	8
4	Mauaense W	6	0	1	5	4:13	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tiradentes PA W	6	4	1	1	17:5	13
2	Portuguesa AP W	6	3	3	0	15:10	12
3	Sao Raimundo RR W	6	1	2	3	8:16	5
4	Ypiranga AP W	6	0	2	4	6:15	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Joao PI W	6	5	1	0	18:4	16
2	Sampaio Correa W	6	1	3	2	5:10	6
3	Remo W	6	1	2	3	5:12	5
4	Paraiso EC W	6	0	4	2	4:6	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uniao RN W	6	4	1	1	13:3	13
2	R4 EC W	6	3	0	3	8:9	9
3	Mixto PB W	6	2	2	2	13:10	8
4	Ipojuca W	6	1	1	4	4:16	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juventude W	6	5	1	0	18:3	16
2	Prosperidade W	6	3	1	2	12:6	10
3	Alagoinhas W	6	2	2	2	4:5	8
4	Guarani de Paripueira W	6	0	0	6	2:22	0