Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Jose W vs Taboao da Serra W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose W play Taboao da Serra W in the Paulista Women 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Jose W averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. Taboao da Serra W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 4.3 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Jose W won 4, Taboao da Serra W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 30, 2011 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Sao Jose W and 2.75 for Taboao da Serra W. This points to a Sao Jose W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sao Jose W
15%
Draws
33%
Taboao da Serra W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Sao Jose W picked up more points recently compared to Taboao da Serra W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Sao Jose W Clean Sheet 10%
Taboao da Serra W Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose W Taboao da Serra W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.55 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.67 4.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2011 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Sao Jose W
0:6
May 15, 2011 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Taboao da Serra W
4:1
Jun 20, 2010 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Taboao da Serra W
3:0
Apr 24, 2010 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Sao Jose W
0:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose W 49 / 100
Taboao da Serra W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose W Taboao da Serra W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sao Jose W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Jose W attacking → ← attacking Taboao da Serra W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose W scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Taboao da Serra W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sao Jose W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Taboao da Serra W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 30
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771