Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Joseense vs Cianorte

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estádio Municipal Cilmar Pedro Goergen, São José dos Pinhais
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Robson Luiz

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sao Joseense
35%
Draws
32%
Cianorte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cianorte lately — more wins on the board than Sao Joseense.
  • Sao Joseense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Cianorte arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cianorte, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sao Joseense Clean Sheet 68%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joseense Cianorte
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Cianorte vs Sao Joseense
1:1
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Sao Joseense vs Cianorte
0:1
Jan 15, 2026 Paranaense
Sao Joseense vs Cianorte
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Paranaense
Sao Joseense vs Cianorte
1:5
Jan 17, 2024 Paranaense
Sao Joseense vs Cianorte
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Joseense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Cianorte Compare

Top Goalscorer Robson Luiz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joseense 46 / 100
Cianorte 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joseense Cianorte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cianorte has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sao Joseense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sao Joseense scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joseense VS Cianorte
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joseense

(Home)
19 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 1
Foz do Iguacu
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Londrina B
3 : 2
Sao Joseense
30 Aug
Sao Joseense
1 : 0
Azuriz
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 6

Cianorte

(Away)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3