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Sao Joseense vs FC Cascavel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Parana Estádio Municipal Cilmar Pedro Goergen, São José dos Pinhais
Sao Joseense Logo

Sao Joseense

1 - 4
FT
FC Cascavel Logo

FC Cascavel

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sao Joseense
30%
Draws
58%
FC Cascavel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cascavel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Cascavel at 1.07 per game, Sao Joseense at 0.69.
  • Model gives FC Cascavel a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Cascavel, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sao Joseense Clean Sheet 18%
FC Cascavel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joseense FC Cascavel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Copa Parana
Sao Joseense vs FC Cascavel
1:4
Jan 23, 2025 Paranaense
Sao Joseense vs FC Cascavel
1:1
Feb 11, 2024 Paranaense
Sao Joseense vs FC Cascavel
2:1
Jan 14, 2023 Paranaense
FC Cascavel vs Sao Joseense
1:0
Feb 17, 2022 Paranaense
FC Cascavel vs Sao Joseense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joseense 20 / 100
FC Cascavel 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joseense FC Cascavel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cascavel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Cascavel conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sao Joseense found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Sao Joseense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joseense VS FC Cascavel
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joseense

(Home)
02 Oct
Athletico-PR B
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
26 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 4
FC Cascavel
19 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 1
Foz do Iguacu
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Londrina B
3 : 2
Sao Joseense
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FC Cascavel

(Away)
10 Oct
FC Cascavel
0 : 0
Londrina B
26 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 4
FC Cascavel
20 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
FC Cascavel
12 Sept
FC Cascavel
2 : 3
Athletico-PR B
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Foz do Iguacu 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Athletico-PR B 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Paranavai-PR 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
5 Azuriz 5 2 1 2 3:2 7
6 Londrina B 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
7 FC Cascavel 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
8 Sao Joseense 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)