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Sao Luis vs Americano Bacabal

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Luis in this Maranhense 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Luis
6%
Draws
4%
Americano Bacabal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Luis have won more games recently than Americano Bacabal.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sao Luis taking it.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sao Luis here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 68%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luis Americano Bacabal
Matches Played 25 23
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Americano Bacabal
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Americano Bacabal
5:0
Sep 14, 2024 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Americano Bacabal
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luis 95 / 100
Americano Bacabal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luis Americano Bacabal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luis's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: Americano Bacabal conceded in 87% of 23 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Sao Luis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luis VS Americano Bacabal
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araioses54106:013
2Sao Luis53119:410
3Tupan51316:66
4Expressinho52035:66
5Americano Bacabal51133:94
6Sao Jose (MA)51044:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lago Verde430113:39
2Pinheiro42114:37
3Viana40132:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Timon EC (MA)42204:18
2Cordino EC41213:35
3Balsas40223:62