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SAO Mateus vs Colatina SE Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Capixaba 2011
SAO Mateus Logo

SAO Mateus

4 - 0
FT
Colatina SE Logo

Colatina SE

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2011 game between SAO Mateus and Colatina SE finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SAO Mateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
SAO Mateus
15%
Draws
59%
Colatina SE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colatina SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SAO Mateus come out ahead of Colatina SE on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Colatina SE's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 14%
Colatina SE Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Mateus Colatina SE
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.79 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2014 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Colatina SE
2:0
Jan 27, 2014 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs SAO Mateus
1:1
Mar 31, 2012 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Colatina SE
2:0
Feb 25, 2012 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs SAO Mateus
2:0
Apr 23, 2011 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs SAO Mateus
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Mateus 10 / 100
Colatina SE 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Mateus Colatina SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colatina SE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Colatina SE conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: SAO Mateus scored in 53% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: SAO Mateus remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SAO Mateus VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Mateus

(Home)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 7

Colatina SE

(Away)
10 May
Colatina SE
2 : 5
Linhares Futebol Clube
05 May
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Colatina SE
26 Apr
Colatina SE
4 : 2
Real Noroeste
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
14 Apr
Colatina SE
0 : 0
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 14 8 3 3 23:21 27
2 Vitoria ES 14 7 2 5 22:13 23
3 SAO Mateus 14 6 4 4 28:19 22
4 Linhares Futebol Clube 14 7 1 6 24:22 22
5 Aracruz 14 6 6 2 23:15 18
6 Colatina SE 14 4 3 7 16:24 15
7 Galatas 14 3 5 6 18:29 14
8 Serra 14 1 4 9 12:23 7
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2011 (Play Offs)