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Sao Paulo AM W vs Recanto W

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Women 2024 CFA Laudo Natel
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo AM W play Recanto W in the Amazonense Women 2024. Sao Paulo AM W are favorites here. Recently, Sao Paulo AM W averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2 conceded. Recanto W averaged 0.4 goals scored and 4.93 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Paulo AM W won 1, Recanto W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 4, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.58 for Sao Paulo AM W and 1.13 for Recanto W. This points to a Sao Paulo AM W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Sao Paulo AM W
15%
Draws
11%
Recanto W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo AM W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Paulo AM W picked up more points recently compared to Recanto W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.58 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Sao Paulo AM W Clean Sheet 21%
Recanto W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo AM W Recanto W
Matches Played 5 15
Wins 3 0
Draws 0 2
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 2.4 0.4
Goals Conceded 2 4.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.40 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2024 Amazonense Women
Sao Paulo AM W vs Recanto W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo AM W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vieira S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Figueiredo da Silva E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.2

Recanto W Compare

Top Goalscorer de Souza S. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo AM W 71 / 100
Recanto W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo AM W Recanto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo AM W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sao Paulo AM W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Paulo AM W attacking → ← attacking Recanto W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo AM W scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

Recanto W let in goals in 100% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sao Paulo AM W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Recanto W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 2
2.40 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.75