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Sao Paulo AP vs Macapa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2017
Sao Paulo AP Logo

Sao Paulo AP

0 - 2
FT
Macapa Logo

Macapa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2017 game between Sao Paulo AP and Macapa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sao Paulo AP
15%
Draws
21%
Macapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Macapa's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what Sao Paulo AP have produced (1.16).
  • Sao Paulo AP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Amapaense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 15%
Macapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo AP Macapa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.16 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.72 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2024 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Macapa
2:3
May 20, 2023 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Macapa
1:1
Jun 11, 2022 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Macapa
0:6
Aug 9, 2021 Amapaense
Macapa vs Sao Paulo AP
2:6
Aug 28, 2020 Amapaense
Macapa vs Sao Paulo AP
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo AP 84 / 100
Macapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo AP Macapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo AP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Macapa conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Sao Paulo AP has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Macapa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo AP VS Macapa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo AP

(Home)
22 Jun
Rio Norte
2 : 0
Sao Paulo AP
12 Jun
Sao Paulo AP
4 : 0
Lagoa
03 Jun
Cruzeiro AP
2 : 1
Sao Paulo AP
26 May
Sao Paulo AP
2 : 1
Latitude Zero
21 May
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Sao Paulo AP
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Macapa

(Away)
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
06 Mar
Oratorio
3 : 0
Macapa
01 Mar
Macapa
0 : 1
Ypiranga AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos AP 5 3 0 2 8:3 9
2 Independente AP 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
3 Macapa 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Ypiranga AP 5 1 3 1 2:5 6
5 Trem 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
6 Sao Paulo AP 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2017 (Play Offs)