Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Paulo AP vs Mazagao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2009 game between Sao Paulo AP and Mazagao finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Paulo AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Paulo AP
6%
Draws
4%
Mazagao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Paulo AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mazagao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sao Paulo AP a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Amapaense 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo AP Mazagao
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2011 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Sao Paulo AP
5:1
Nov 25, 2009 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Mazagao
2:1
Nov 13, 2009 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Mazagao
0:1
Sep 27, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Sao Paulo AP
0:0
Apr 19, 2008 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Sao Paulo AP
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo AP 83 / 100
Mazagao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo AP Mazagao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazagao has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sao Paulo AP stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mazagao's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo AP VS Mazagao
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macapa32016:36
2Mazagao32015:46
3Santana EC30306:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Jose31116:64
2Sao Paulo AP31114:64
3Oratorio30123:51