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Sao Paulo AP vs SAO Jose

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo AP play SAO Jose in the Campeonato Amapaense 2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Paulo AP averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. SAO Jose averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Paulo AP won 0, SAO Jose won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 20, 2015 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Sao Paulo AP and 1.94 for SAO Jose. This points to a SAO Jose double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Paulo AP
6%
Draws
4%
SAO Jose
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Paulo AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SAO Jose has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sao Paulo AP.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sao Paulo AP.
  • Cup tournament structure in Campeonato Amapaense 2009 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo AP SAO Jose
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2015 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs SAO Jose
1:2
Aug 22, 2013 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs SAO Jose
0:0
May 22, 2012 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Sao Paulo AP
1:1
Jul 31, 2011 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Sao Paulo AP
2:0
Dec 8, 2009 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs SAO Jose
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo AP 83 / 100
SAO Jose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo AP SAO Jose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo AP scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

SAO Jose let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Sao Paulo AP went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SAO Jose lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo AP VS SAO Jose
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Macapa1
Sao Paulo AP3
SAO Jose3
Mazagao1
Final
Sao Paulo AP0
SAO Jose1