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Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Sao Paulo U20 have averaged 2.09 scored and 0.66 conceded recently, against Desportivo U20's 1.39 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Sao Paulo U20 slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (2.25 - 1.13) back Sao Paulo U20 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sao Paulo U20
30%
Draws
19%
Desportivo U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Paulo U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sao Paulo U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Sao Paulo U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sao Paulo U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Desportivo U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo U20 Desportivo U20
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 21 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.09 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20
4:3
Oct 20, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20
6:0
Oct 12, 2024 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
1:1
Sep 3, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo U20 58 / 100
Desportivo U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo U20 Desportivo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Paulo U20 scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Sao Paulo U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Desportivo U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo U20 VS Desportivo U20
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo U20

(Home)
08 Oct
Sao Paulo U20
3 : 1
Athletico-PR U20
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
16 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
10 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
13 : 1
Gremio Santo Antonio U20
Page 1 of 7

Desportivo U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Desportivo U20
1 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
19 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
2 : 4
Desportivo U20
12 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
1 : 1
Desportivo U20
04 Sept
Desportivo U20
0 : 1
Sao Paulo U20
21 Aug
Ibrachina U20
3 : 0
Desportivo U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flamengo SP U20 3
Ferroviaria U20 2
CA Bandeirante U20 1
Bragantino U20 11
Portuguesa Santista U20 3
Novorizontino U20 2
XV de Jau U20 2
Corinthians U20 5
Piracicaba U20 1
Sfera U20 2
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Guarani U20 5
Sertaozinho U20 1
Santo Andre U20 4
Gremio Prudente U20 0
CA Juventus U20 4
Capivariano U20 2
Agua Santa U20 1
Paulinense U20 3
Ibrachina U20 5
Osasco Sporting U20 3
Desportivo U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Ponte Preta U20 6
Portuguesa U20 1
Jabaquara U20 1
Santos U20 6
Botafogo SP U20 4
Osasco Audax U20 1
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 3
1/8-finals
Flamengo SP U20 0
Bragantino U20 0
Portuguesa Santista U20 0
Corinthians U20 0
Sfera U20 2
Guarani U20 1
Santo Andre U20 3
CA Juventus U20 1
Capivariano U20 0
Ibrachina U20 0
Desportivo U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Ponte Preta U20 -
Santos U20 -
Botafogo SP U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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