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Sao Paulo U20 vs Fortaleza U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Angelo Candido
90'
Rafael Vaz
90' Event
Matheus Ferreira
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo U20 in this Brasileiro U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Paulo U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Sao Paulo U20
20%
Draws
19%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Paulo U20 lately — more wins on the board than Fortaleza U20.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Sao Paulo U20 taking it.
  • Regular Brasileiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:0
Nov 19, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Fortaleza U20
0:1
Nov 12, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
0:2
Apr 2, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelo Candido
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo U20 85 / 100
Fortaleza U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo U20 Fortaleza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo U20's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sao Paulo U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fortaleza U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo U20 VS Fortaleza U20
3.13 Goals Scored 1.43
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
16 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
10 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
13 : 1
Gremio Santo Antonio U20
04 Sept
Desportivo U20
0 : 1
Sao Paulo U20
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Fortaleza U20

(Away)
01 Oct
Fortaleza U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 19 13 5 1 54:23 44
2 Vasco U20 19 11 3 5 36:19 36
3 Botafogo RJ U20 19 11 3 5 32:20 36
4 Bragantino U20 19 10 4 5 49:35 34
5 Athletico-PR U20 19 9 5 5 39:25 32
6 Santos U20 19 9 4 6 29:24 31
7 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 19 8 5 6 35:27 29
8 Corinthians U20 19 8 5 6 31:25 29
9 Bahia U20 19 8 5 6 32:30 29
10 Flamengo RJ U20 19 7 7 5 28:29 28
11 Sao Paulo U20 19 6 7 6 27:26 25
12 America MG U20 19 6 7 6 25:37 25
13 Cuiaba U20 19 6 3 10 19:27 21
14 Vitoria U20 19 5 5 9 20:31 20
15 Gremio U20 19 6 1 12 31:42 19
16 Fluminense U20 19 5 4 10 25:31 19
17 EC Juventude U20 19 5 3 11 20:39 18
18 Criciuma U20 19 5 2 12 24:40 17
19 Avai U20 19 3 7 9 24:43 16
20 Fortaleza U20 19 2 9 8 18:25 15
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)