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Sao Paulo U20 vs Palmeiras U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sao Paulo U20 have averaged 1.97 scored and 0.45 conceded recently, against Palmeiras U20's 2.48 scored and 0.84 conceded. Past meetings favor Palmeiras U20 slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 2.00) point toward Palmeiras U20. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sao Paulo U20
15%
Draws
46%
Palmeiras U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmeiras U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Palmeiras U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo U20 Palmeiras U20
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 22 23
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.97 2.48
Goals Conceded 0.45 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
3:3
Jul 10, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
3:2
Dec 2, 2024 Copa do Brasil U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Palmeiras U20
3:2
May 8, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Palmeiras U20
1:5
Nov 25, 2023 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo U20 34 / 100
Palmeiras U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo U20 Palmeiras U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Paulo U20 scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Sao Paulo U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Palmeiras U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo U20 VS Palmeiras U20
3.13 Goals Scored 3.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo U20

(Home)
17 Oct
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 2
Desportivo U20
14 Oct
Uniao Carmolandense U20
1 : 2
Sao Paulo U20
11 Oct
Desportivo U20
0 : 2
Sao Paulo U20
08 Oct
Sao Paulo U20
3 : 1
Athletico-PR U20
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
Page 1 of 7

Palmeiras U20

(Away)
18 Oct
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Botafogo SP U20
15 Oct
Palmeiras U20
4 : 1
Botafogo RJ U20
12 Oct
Botafogo SP U20
0 : 1
Palmeiras U20
09 Oct
Palmeiras U20
4 : 3
Santos U20
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Piracicaba U20 1
Sfera U20 2
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Guarani U20 5
Portuguesa Santista U20 3
Novorizontino U20 2
XV de Jau U20 2
Corinthians U20 5
Capivariano U20 2
Agua Santa U20 1
Paulinense U20 3
Ibrachina U20 5
Flamengo SP U20 3
Ferroviaria U20 2
CA Bandeirante U20 1
Bragantino U20 11
Sertaozinho U20 1
Santo Andre U20 4
Gremio Prudente U20 0
CA Juventus U20 4
Ponte Preta U20 6
Portuguesa U20 1
Jabaquara U20 1
Santos U20 6
Osasco Sporting U20 3
Desportivo U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Botafogo SP U20 4
Osasco Audax U20 1
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 3
1/8-finals
Sfera U20 2
Guarani U20 3
Portuguesa Santista U20 1
Corinthians U20 6
Capivariano U20 3
Ibrachina U20 2
Flamengo SP U20 0
Bragantino U20 9
Santo Andre U20 5
CA Juventus U20 4
Ponte Preta U20 2
Santos U20 4
Desportivo U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 4
Botafogo SP U20 0
Palmeiras U20 4
Quarter-finals
Guarani U20 -
Corinthians U20 -
Capivariano U20 -
Bragantino U20 -
Santo Andre U20 -
Santos U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -