Sport Picks
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors Prediction & H2H Stats
South America
Copa Sudamericana Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Danielzinho In: Ferreira D.
Out: Danielzinho
49'
49'
Ferreira D.
60'
60'
Lozano L.
Assist: Flores L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boca Juniors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Boca Juniors have won more games recently than Sao Paulo.
- 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Boca Juniors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 17%
Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Paulo | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors
1:1
Sep 9, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo
1:0
Sep 26, 2007 Copa Sudamericana
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors
1:0
Sep 19, 2007 Copa Sudamericana
Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo
2:1
Sep 15, 2006 Recopa Sudamericana
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Paulo Compare
Top Goalscorer Duarte D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Boca Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Lozano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Paulo 36 / 100
Boca Juniors 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Paulo Boca Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boca Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Paulo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Sao Paulo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Boca Juniors let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sao Paulo VS Boca Juniors
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Paulo
(Home) 20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 Internacional
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
05 Sept
Sao Paulo
2 : 0 Atletico-MG
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 Internacional
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
Sao Paulo
2 : 0 Atletico-MG
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 Bragantino
19 Aug
Sao Paulo
3 : 1 Bolivar
Page 1 of 3
Boca Juniors
(Away) 27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3 Boca Juniors
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Boca Juniors
3 : 1 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
09 Sept
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3 Boca Juniors
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
03 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
