Sport Picks
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo 
AI Match Summary
Sao Paulo host Corinthians in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sao Paulo have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Corinthians's 1.11 scored and 1.36 conceded. Head-to-head, Sao Paulo have won 2 to Corinthians's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.00, favoring Sao Paulo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sao Paulo have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Corinthians are scoring more at 1.11.
- Model gives Sao Paulo a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Paulo | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Sao Paulo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Corinthians conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Sao Paulo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Paulo
(Home)Corinthians
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | 21 |
