Sport Picks

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Sao Paulo W vs Bahia W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio do Caninde, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Crivelari
25' Event
Cassia
45'
Silva S.

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Paulo W
30%
Draws
34%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bahia W have won more games recently than Sao Paulo W.
  • Win probability leans Sao Paulo W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sao Paulo W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo W Bahia W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Bahia W
2:1
May 18, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Sao Paulo W
1:2
Feb 25, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Bahia W
1:1
Jun 24, 2021 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Sao Paulo W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Crivelari
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evelyn Gadu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bahia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 36 / 100
Bahia W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Sao Paulo W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Sao Paulo W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Bahia W conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo W VS Bahia W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo W

(Home)
22 Jul
Vasco W
0 : 1
Sao Paulo W
18 Jul
Palmeiras W
1 : 0
Sao Paulo W
12 Jul
Sao Paulo W
2 : 1
Taubate W
06 Jul
Mauaense W
0 : 3
Sao Paulo W
25 May
Sao Paulo W
3 : 0
Santos W
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Bahia W

(Away)
21 Jul
Itabirito W
0 : 1
Bahia W
27 May
Planalto EC W
0 : 1
Bahia W
23 May
Fluminense W
3 : 3
Bahia W
16 May
Bahia W
3 : 0
Internacional W
09 May
Mixto W
1 : 1
Bahia W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16Vitoria W121389:286
17America Mineiro W121386:256
18Botafogo RJ W121297:245
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)