Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa do Brasil Women 2025 Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

Sao Paulo W

0 - 4

Palmeiras W

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Ingryd

45'

Brena Carolina

45'

Brena Carolina

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras W in this Copa do Brasil Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sao Paulo W

20%

Draws

38%

Palmeiras W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Palmeiras W have won more games recently than Sao Paulo W.
Model gives Sao Paulo W a 42% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Copa do Brasil Women 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Palmeiras W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 16%

Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Paulo W	Palmeiras W
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	15	19
Draws	3	6
Losses	10	5
Goals Scored	1.5	2.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Paulista Women

Palmeiras W vs Sao Paulo W

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Mar 28, 2026 Brasileiro Women

Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Nov 5, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women

Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

0:4

Sep 28, 2025 Paulista Women

Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Jun 4, 2025 Paulista Women

Palmeiras W vs Sao Paulo W

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingryd

1 Goals

Assists Leader Brena Carolina

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 41 / 100

Palmeiras W 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Paulo W Palmeiras W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sao Paulo W scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Sao Paulo W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Palmeiras W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo W VS Palmeiras W

1.5 Goals Scored 2.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Vasco W-

TBD-

Minas Brasilia W-

TBD-

Sao Paulo W-

CR Flamengo W-

TBD-

Remo W-

TBD-

Mixto PB W0

Operario MS W1

Cruzeiro W-

TBD-

Corinthians W-

EC Juventude W-

TBD-

Taruma W1

Juventude W2

TBD-

Fortaleza W-

Taubate W-

TBD-

Avai Kindermann W-

TBD-

Palmeiras W-

America Mineiro W-

TBD-

Santos W-

TBD-

Criciuma W1

Perolas Negras W2

TBD-

Manaus W4

Guarani de Paripueira W3

Ipojuca W1

Alagoinhas W0

Doce Mel W4

IAPE W1

Pinda Ferroviaria W3

Sao Raimundo RR W1

Realidade Jovem W5

Recanto W0

TBD-

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W-

Internacional W-

TBD-

Fluminense W-

TBD-

Toledo W1

Brasil de Farroupilha W3

TBD-

Itacoatiara W-

UD Alagoana W0

Coritiba W1

Ceara W1

Rolim de Moura W2

TBD-

Várzea Grande EC W0

Prosperidade W1

TBD-

Mixto W-

Itabirito W5

Uniao RN W1

TBD-

Vitoria W-

Bragantino W-

TBD-

Botafogo RJ W-

TBD-

Tuna Luso W2

Cresspom W1

Vila Nova FC W1

Atletico-PI W2

TBD-

Acao W-

Sao Jose W-

TBD-

Ypiranga AP W2

Galvez W0

Bahia W-

TBD-

Gremio W-

Real Brasilia W-

TBD-

Atletico-MG W-

TBD-

Paysandu PA W-

1/32-finals

Vasco W2

Minas Brasilia W1

TBD-

Sao Paulo W-

CR Flamengo W-

TBD-

Remo W1

Operario MS W2

Cruzeiro W-

TBD-

Corinthians W-

EC Juventude W-

TBD-

Juventude W2

Fortaleza W4

Taubate W0

Avai Kindermann W2

TBD-

Palmeiras W-

America Mineiro W-

TBD-

Santos W3

Perolas Negras W0

TBD-

Manaus W3

Ipojuca W2

Doce Mel W2

Pinda Ferroviaria W3

Realidade Jovem W1

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W0

Internacional W-

TBD-

Fluminense W-

TBD-

Brasil de Farroupilha W2

Itacoatiara W1

Coritiba W2

Rolim de Moura W1

TBD-

Prosperidade W1

Mixto W2

Itabirito W0

Vitoria W1

Bragantino W-

TBD-

Botafogo RJ W2

Tuna Luso W1

Atletico-PI W2

Acao W0

Sao Jose W3

Ypiranga AP W2

Bahia W-

TBD-

Gremio W-

Real Brasilia W-

TBD-

Atletico-MG W4

Paysandu PA W0

1/16-finals

Vasco W1

Sao Paulo W3

CR Flamengo W6

Operario MS W0

Cruzeiro W1

Corinthians W2

EC Juventude W3

Fortaleza W2

Avai Kindermann W0

Palmeiras W4

America Mineiro W1

Santos W0

Sport Recife W10

Manaus W0

Pinda Ferroviaria W1

Realidade Jovem W2

Internacional W3

3B da Amazonia W1

Fluminense W3

Brasil de Farroupilha W0

Coritiba W1

Ferroviaria W5

Mixto W1

Vitoria W3

Bragantino W2

Botafogo RJ W1

Atletico-PI W3

Sao Jose W0

Bahia W1

Gremio W0

Real Brasilia W0

Atletico-MG W2

1/8-finals

Sao Paulo W1

CR Flamengo W0

Corinthians W3

EC Juventude W0

Palmeiras W3

America Mineiro W0

Sport Recife W3

Realidade Jovem W1

Internacional W2

Fluminense W0

Ferroviaria W3

Vitoria W0

Bragantino W1

Atletico-PI W0

Bahia W1

Atletico-MG W0

Quarter-finals

Sao Paulo W3

Corinthians W1

Palmeiras W5

Sport Recife W0

Internacional W0

Ferroviaria W2

Bragantino W1

Bahia W2

Semi-finals

Sao Paulo W0

Palmeiras W4

Ferroviaria W2

Bahia W0

Final

Palmeiras W4

Ferroviaria W2