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Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio do Caninde
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Robinha
45'
Tayla
46'
Sub
Raissa Bahia In: Glaucia
Out: Raissa Bahia

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sao Paulo W
33%
Draws
27%
Palmeiras W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras W lately — more wins on the board than Sao Paulo W.
  • Win probability leans Sao Paulo W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 68%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo W Palmeiras W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 20
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W
3:0
Nov 5, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W
0:4
Sep 28, 2025 Paulista Women
Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W
0:3
Jun 4, 2025 Paulista Women
Palmeiras W vs Sao Paulo W
3:2
May 3, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Sao Paulo W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Isa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aline
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Palmeiras W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 50 / 100
Palmeiras W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo W Palmeiras W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Sao Paulo W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Sao Paulo W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Palmeiras W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo W VS Palmeiras W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16America Mineiro W121386:256
17Botafogo RJ W111287:225
18Vitoria W110387:283