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Sao Raimundo AM vs Unidos do Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Raimundo AM play Unidos do Alvorada in the Amazonense 2 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Raimundo AM averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Unidos do Alvorada averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Raimundo AM won 2, Unidos do Alvorada won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 2, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.07 for Sao Raimundo AM and 1.30 for Unidos do Alvorada. This points to a Unidos do Alvorada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sao Raimundo AM
15%
Draws
46%
Unidos do Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unidos do Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Raimundo AM picked up more points recently compared to Unidos do Alvorada.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.07 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Sao Raimundo AM Clean Sheet 19%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Raimundo AM Unidos do Alvorada
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2024 Amazonense
Unidos do Alvorada vs Sao Raimundo AM
0:1
Aug 15, 2023 Amazonense 2
Sao Raimundo AM vs Unidos do Alvorada
0:1
Jul 30, 2023 Amazonense 2
Sao Raimundo AM vs Unidos do Alvorada
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Raimundo AM 39 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Raimundo AM Unidos do Alvorada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Unidos do Alvorada or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Raimundo AM attacking → ← attacking Unidos do Alvorada

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Raimundo AM scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Unidos do Alvorada let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Sao Raimundo AM went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Unidos do Alvorada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 48
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.60
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Raimundo AM33009:49
2Unidos do Alvorada32015:36
3Librade31024:53
4Sul America30033:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cliper21103:04
2RB do Norte21101:04
3Itacoatiara20020:40