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Sao Raimundo PA vs Carajas

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Sat, Oct 26, 2024
0 - 1
01:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Carajas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sao Raimundo PA
35%
Draws
30%
Carajas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Raimundo PA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Sao Raimundo PA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Carajas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sao Raimundo PA Clean Sheet 20%
Carajas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Raimundo PA Carajas
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 16 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.57 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Paraense A2
Sao Raimundo PA vs Carajas
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Paraense A2
Carajas vs Sao Raimundo PA
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Raimundo PA 32 / 100
Carajas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Raimundo PA Carajas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Raimundo PA scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Carajas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sao Raimundo PA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Raimundo PA VS Carajas
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Raimundo PA

(Home)
15 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0
Sao Francisco
12 Feb
Bragantino PA
1 : 1
Sao Raimundo PA
08 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 3
Sao Raimundo PA
04 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 1
Castanhal
01 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
2 : 2
Amazonia IFC
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Carajas

(Away)
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
09 May
Itupiranga
1 : 1
Carajas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Capitao Poco 2
Izabelense 0
Amazonia IFC 0
Paragominas 5
Carajas 2
Sao Raimundo PA 1
ESMAC 1
Independente 3
Semi-finals
Capitao Poco 3
Paragominas 0
Carajas 1
Independente 2
Final
Capitao Poco 1
Independente 2